what will be happen for “the Land of the Rising Sun”? (Analysis of Japan national Budget, budget per capita and budget size index)
1.Judgement about Japan governmental weight index and political weight index will not suitable, unless we talking about the budget fluctuation and its effects on the under review country. Japan budget in national currency had increased flow in last 20 years. But they increased flow wasn’t huge like to the most of countries. Because they achieve to the development goal in last years ago and now, they are just trying to keep their stability. The japan National budget in Yen at the 2000 was 150,000 billion and in 2018 it was increased to 188,000 billion. The japan budget in national currency had many big swing in last 20 years. It seems that their national income, with a gentle slope, had an increased flow from 2003, but after 2007, till 2009 they experimented a big fallen, which that is near to 14%. Also, after 2009, mostly, they had an increase flow in national budget, except in 2018 which they had .43% fallen in comparison to last year.
2.The swing of Japan National budget in dollar, unlike to their budget in national currency, was affected by two important reason which that’s: A: fluctuate of economical Factor like GDP, and world economy crisis and B: the tension between dollar and yen in last years. In 2018 they had 1700 billion dollar budget, which this is less than of their budget in 2012 (that is 1900 billiard dollar) due to this trend, the present situation imagine to us the Petroleum countries economy. It seems that the japan economy is affected by oil price swing. Also the japan National budget in dollar at 2018 was increased more than of 300 billion dollar in comparison to their budget in 2000, which its increased amount is more than of 21%. Their budget in last 3 year was stable around 1,700 billion dollar. The current situation proof that they are in a hard position and just could save their position, not developed. This is no good sign for Japan economy future. The present situation raised from A: oil price tension in the world B: old population C: the growth of new Economies like China and South Korea D: high dependency to the international economic and welfare standards
3.In last years, Japanese BPC or budget per capita trend, is like to their trend in dollar national budget. Because of to their stable amount of population size, we haven’t seen a different flow in BPC figure. The BPC amount in 2018 at japan was $24000, which it was $11,000 in 2010. This amount of BPC in most of Asian countries, especially in populated country, is unique and fantastic. We can claim that the Japanese governments make a different world in Asia via high level of development standards and welfare. This is not hide from anyone but this means isn’t that they have a real growth on this section. The size of BPC is worthy when we compare it by other country BPC in size and growth. Their BPC increased about 22% in comparison to 2000, but it had decline in comparison to 2012 (near to 12%). Also their growth rate doesn’t like the most of EU countries and their increasing amount is not impressive. Maybe for this reason and other relevant matters, their people decided to population contraction.
4.The B index in Japan, which it’s the indicant of Japan budget per capit with best and reasonable amount of BPC in the welfare states, mostly had a decline flow in last 20 years. In 2018, their B size was 28 of 100. By analyze of their trend, obviously we can see that they experiment 85% fallen on the B index in comparison to 2000. This figure shown us the Japan real challenge, which it is “their distance with welfare states be increased”. They are just standing, not moving to the forward. Now, japan playing by oldest rule of economy. Also the China and South Korea playing, led to define a hard game for japan in the Asia. Japan is the owner of valuable brand in economy, but at the present time their people are too old and their other young people are too expensive for using of that’s brand and knowledge. The standards of the world will be change and Japan cannot stay here.